Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
How winnings work
You win if the answer is YES by the deadline
With € 10.00 on Yes → payout € 72.00 (profit € 62.00)
You win if the answer is NO by the deadline
With € 10.00 on No → payout € 10.29 (profit € 0.29)
How this market settles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
How it works
Pick Yes or No and choose your stake. If the market resolves in your favour, your payout is calculated at the confirmed odds.
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Visible odds · Market rules · Single balance